No new effective date is attached to this explainer.
Mr Bullitt / Wikimedia Commons (source) · Public domain
Karen Bass and Nithya Raman made church and community campaign stops Sunday ahead of Tuesday’s election. Source: Los Angeles Times.
Their closing arguments reflect competing assessments of City Hall’s record. At campaign events in Encino on October 30, Bass supporters questioned Raman’s policing positions and experience, while Raman supporters praised her responsiveness and work in Council District 4. The candidates also disputed who deserves credit for improvements in the district. These interviews capture individual perspectives, not a representative measure of sentiment across Los Angeles. Source: ABC7.
The late-October Berkeley IGS survey already tracked by Federal Weekly placed both candidates at 40% among likely city voters. Another 17% were undecided; 2% had already voted but left the race blank, refused or did not recall their choice. Source: Berkeley IGS survey tabulations.
The weekend’s campaigning shows how the candidates are making their final case. It does not establish a new polling lead or a measurable shift in citywide sentiment.
LA mayoral polls
Published survey observations, not daily estimates or chances of winning. No values are filled in between polls and no polling average is calculated.
Source check is overdue; newer polls may exist.
Source check: . A source check is not a new survey.
Berkeley IGS Poll · Oct 25, 2026 · Latest in this collection
Berkeley IGS Poll
Fieldwork Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. Released Oct 28, 2026.
Likely City of Los Angeles voters, including people who had already voted (unweighted sample); n = 2,197. Sponsor: Los Angeles Times / Berkeley IGS Poll.
Reported or intended vote for Los Angeles mayor, combining already-voted and not-yet-voted respondents.
Share of respondents · scale 0% to 100%
Berkeley IGS Poll, fieldwork Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026. Share of respondents, percent; chart scale 0% to 100%.
Response
Percent
Karen Bass
40%
Nithya Raman
40%
Undecided / blank / refused / do not recall
19%
Karen Bass40%
Nithya Raman40%
Undecided / blank / refused / do not recall19%
Method and source notes
Mode
Online, English and Spanish, according to co-sponsor reporting. Full survey-specific recruitment and weighting memo not located.
Uncertainty
Approximately ±3 percentage points, as reported by the co-sponsor; not a confidence interval for the difference between candidates. Full methodology limitations remain.
The residual 19% combines 17% undecided among people not yet voting with 2% already-voted respondents who left the race blank, refused or did not recall.
Rounded percentages sum to 99%. Values are reproduced as published; no missing percentage point is assigned.
This is a selected set of verified surveys, not a complete census of all polling. Survey support is not a probability of winning.
Fieldwork Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. Released Sep 23, 2026.
Likely City of Los Angeles voters (unweighted sample); n = 2,150. Sponsor: Los Angeles Times / Berkeley IGS Poll.
Intended vote for Los Angeles mayor if the election were held at the time of the survey.
Share of respondents · scale 0% to 100%
Berkeley IGS Poll, fieldwork Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. Share of respondents, percent; chart scale 0% to 100%.
Response
Percent
Karen Bass
28%
Nithya Raman
39%
Undecided
33%
Karen Bass28%
Nithya Raman39%
Undecided33%
Method and source notes
Mode
Online, English and Spanish, according to co-sponsor reporting. Full survey-specific recruitment and weighting memo not located.
Uncertainty
Approximately ±3 percentage points, as reported by the co-sponsor. Full methodology limitations remain.
The October questionnaire also includes people who had already voted and distinguishes blank/refused responses. The residual categories are not identical.
Separate fieldwork periods are shown as observations; no intermediate daily values are estimated.
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